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Discussion Forums: I-485
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Topic: April VB Predictions for Dates
Posted by jstcrbtmygc (605) 12 Mar 2008
Here is the contest , guess when the VB will come out and what the dates will be

March 13th (Thank god it is not Friday the 13th) , Between 5-6 ET - VB will be out


EB2 -India will go up to 12/2002. China will remain same,

Eb3 India will retro to may2001, China will move forward to march 2003, Mexico wont move, Phil/ROW will move to March 2005

What are your guesses ???
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Posted by GodGiveMeMyGC (253) 12 Mar 2008
every one current
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Posted by jstcrbtmygc (605) 12 Mar 2008
That would be cool, you did not predict when the bulletin will come out
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Posted by GodGiveMeMyGC (253) 12 Mar 2008
it will come out today
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Posted by Indra (47) 12 Mar 2008
Hi
I predict EB2 will be 12/2002 as you said. EB3 will also move to 12/2002 . CHina might be same.
Others No idea.

Hope for the best !
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Posted by jstcrbtmygc (605) 12 Mar 2008
Indra, hope what youy say for india comes thru. there will be lot of happy brothers and sisters.

take care and good luck
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Posted by GodGiveMeMyGC (253) 12 Mar 2008
please make it march 2003 brother
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Posted by Lance (108) 12 Mar 2008
Hi,
IMHO, RoW EB3 - no changes from March VB
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Posted by GodGiveMeMyGC (253) 12 Mar 2008
4 new approved cases today.. good
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Posted by waitingpatient (285) 12 Mar 2008
we should have a contest who's the first one to post that the VB bulletin is out hahaha! i
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Posted by GodGiveMeMyGC (253) 12 Mar 2008
yea.. i agree ..
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Posted by IZA3NEE (307) 12 Mar 2008
Prediction..
VB will come out between 230pm-530pm ET tom.
EB3 ROW - March 2005
EB2 China - Jan or March 03
EB3 China - no movement
EB2 India - still U
EB3 India - Sep 01
EB3 Mexico - May 15 01
EB3 Phil - March 2005

In fact hell if I know lol
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Posted by H1toGC (21) 12 Mar 2008
hey meanboygc,

seems like you are not prdicting but making your PD current!!!!!!!!!

Good Luck!!!!!!!!!
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Posted by gc717 (129) 12 Mar 2008
Problem with USCIS case status system?
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Posted by roweb3 (16) 12 Mar 2008
I'd bet on tomrrow PM as well.
I've been tracking & recorded the dates when VB came out in the past 12 months & came up with an observation; it never comes out after the 10th working day of the month and most often it is on the 9th working day => tomorrow.

As for the dates themselves, none of my 'models/prediction' turned out to be true so I won't make any.

Good luck to you all
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Posted by luish73 (316) 12 Mar 2008
EB3 ROW+PHIL==>JUN, 2005
EB3 INDIA+CHINA+MEXICO==> JUN, 2003


EB2 INDIA==> DEC,2003
EB2 CHINA==>DEC, 2005

ALL REST C

VB OUT BY MONDAY
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Posted by galacticfed (123) 12 Mar 2008
you guys are all totally wrong

EB2 INDIA WILL BE "U"
EB3 INDIA WILL BE "SEP 2004"

I GOT INSIDER INFO FROM TSC IO.
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Posted by aoswait (52) 12 Mar 2008
Hi,
Could someone pls tell me why some of you think that EB2 India could be anything than "U" in April VB. Have not all the visa numbers for India EB2 already spent couple of months ago?

Could someone pls clarify. Thanks.
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Posted by GreenAlways (25) 12 Mar 2008
Just B'cause yours is EB2 and PD June 2001 in April visa bulletin it moves ?
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Posted by jstcrbtmygc (605) 12 Mar 2008

hey meanboygc,

seems like you are not prdicting but making your PD current!!!!!!!!!

Good Luck!!!!!!!!!




LOL. i wish i could then i will do EB2 India as Aug 2001. I wanted to go by the thing that lawyer predicted as 12/2003.. but got a little conservative
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Posted by luish73 (316) 12 Mar 2008
There´s a quarterly target allocation of around 28% of visa numbers...this means between Q1 and Q2 India should have been allocated 56% already (maybe more because 38% were allocated in Q1), this means there´s still room for 4,312 more visas (46% x 9,800)...for the next two quarters between Eb1,Eb2 and Eb3


Hi,
Could someone pls tell me why some of you think that EB2 India could be anything than "U" in April VB. Have not all the visa numbers for India EB2 already spent couple of months ago?

Could someone pls clarify. Thanks.

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Posted by jstcrbtmygc (605) 12 Mar 2008
there was a link from almost 4 weeks back predicting that eb2 will move to 12/2003 and that is why this belief. Ron from the immigration site has been answering questions related to this. Hope he is true and what was said in the conference implemented.
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Posted by July31stRN (1357) 12 Mar 2008
EB2 India will become available on July to get unused EB1 visas. I feel the VB will not change except for EB3 RoW which will retrogress by one year. EB2 Row will get a date, instead of 'C'.

VB will be out tomorrow.
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Posted by jstcrbtmygc (605) 12 Mar 2008
Luish, if this comes true.. there will be lot of happy people. But at the same time there will be so much choas at USCIS.. LOL
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Posted by psuresh (116) 12 Mar 2008
Why are you guys waste your and all other members time here.

if you could wait for 5-8 yrs for GC, why don't you wait for two more days..
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Posted by jstcrbtmygc (605) 12 Mar 2008
suresh,

we are not wasting anyones time. we are having fun.. you have a problem buddy ? You need not check if you think it is a waste of time.

This is the thread because of which everyone is putting in 12/2003 for eb2 stuff

http://immigration-information.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4285
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Posted by July31stRN (1357) 12 Mar 2008

Why are you guys waste your and all other members time here.

if you could wait for 5-8 yrs for GC, why don't you wait for two more days..





Actually, you wasted your time when you posted here. We don't because we're enjoying it.
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Posted by psuresh (116) 12 Mar 2008
Hi meanboygc

Good Luck for you!!!
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Posted by IZA3NEE (307) 12 Mar 2008
Because we having people who think we are wasting time...waste THEIR time...by asking why we are wasting our time
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Posted by mikees (73) 12 Mar 2008
Hi all, is there any predictions on EB1 category..... i am having a feeling that the visas might be over for the EB1 category for Indians, any thoughts.........
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Posted by July31stRN (1357) 12 Mar 2008
I think EB1 will stay C until July or August.
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Posted by gc717 (129) 12 Mar 2008

Hi all, is there any predictions on EB1 category..... i am having a feeling that the visas might be over for the EB1 category for Indians, any thoughts.........



Don't worry! you will stay C for the rest of the year...you have to because many predict that your visa numbers will flow into EB2, the excess ones!!
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Posted by rakib123 (103) 12 Mar 2008
My Prediction..
VB will come out on 03/14/2008
EB3 ROW - January 2006
EB2 China - Jan or March 03
EB3 China - no movement
EB2 India - U
EB3 India - Sep 01
EB3 Mexico - May 15 01
EB3 Phil - January 2006
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Posted by jstcrbtmygc (605) 12 Mar 2008
looks like it will be tomorrow mostly, lets hope the dates move forward for most of us.. and see if we can get lucky in the next few months. good luck all
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Posted by rahulmr (90) 12 Mar 2008
i will pray for EB2 india.
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Posted by harapatha (17) 12 Mar 2008
Wonder who is consuming the EB3 numbers for India in 2001 and early 2002.
Is there a way to guesstimate the pending applications? I know Trackitt has around 175 odd profiles.
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Posted by motichor (54) 12 Mar 2008
I have no idea why USCIS is sitting on our applications without approving them
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Posted by GodGiveMeMyGC (253) 12 Mar 2008
consulates are using all the visa numbers... I guess people who opted consular processing are winner
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Posted by zest2003 (259) 12 Mar 2008
We will see atleast 4-6 month jump for EB3 in upcoing two months so hang on there, Here onwards every one months date will be avg jump of 1.5 month. I am very nervous don't know what to do. This thing & VB is very crazy!!! I am tired so tired! it si difficult to take anymore.
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Posted by JuanRamirez (477) 12 Mar 2008
1 month forward for everybody...
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Posted by July31stRN (1357) 12 Mar 2008
Yeah, I also think Consular Process is eating the GC. There are also a lot stuck in CP process because in the past years, almost all GCs goes to AOS.
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Posted by GCThisweek (176) 12 Mar 2008
if pd for eb2 won't be 12/2003 ---> uscis server will crash with all its disk arrays.
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Posted by spidercharm (185) 12 Mar 2008
Guys, stop talking trash here; EB2 India is moving to 12/2003, there is not even a contest there. This has been discussed several times before so let's not throw out suggestions like "U".

EB3 ROW will move ahead; I have no clue on EB3 India.
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Posted by cjgopo (227) 12 Mar 2008
Prediction..
VB will come out between any time on Friday 14th......
EB3 ROW - No Movement 01 Jan 2005
EB2 China - Jan 03
EB3 China - Dec 15 02
EB2 India - still U
EB3 India - Aug 15 01
EB3 Mexico - May 15 01
EB3 Phil - No Movement 01 Jan 2005
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Posted by apahilaj (215) 12 Mar 2008
Not sure what the point of this thread is...

It seems like everyone is shooting blindly in the dark here...

Why can't we just wait and let the VB bulletin itself tell what the cut off dates will be for next month?!
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Posted by brittogladez (61) 12 Mar 2008
I dont think that USCIS will again keep all the category current but they may move all the PDs to 2006 or 2007. My prayer is to move EB3 India to June 2006... Lets wait and see the status of the 'hanging dagger'.
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Posted by Jhaalaa (594) 12 Mar 2008
I think this thread should be in the waiting lounge.

If you asked me it would be current forever going forward. Go and enjoy your life as if you never bothered about it!

My good wishes for all!
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Posted by gg10004 (47) 12 Mar 2008
No chance for EB3 to reach June2006. Any major jump can only be for last quarter only if there is spill over.
June2006 EB3 India doesnt have any chance until congress passes some new law.


My guess EB2 India - December/April 2003.
EB3 India - August 2001 +- 3 moths


If USCIS dint make any progress for EB3 India, DOS will have to advance the cut off dates for EB3 india as fresh quota will be assigned for 3rd quarter beginning April 1st2008. The current cut off date means that there were enough applicants to exhaust EB3 india quota for 2nd quarter ending March2008. So August 2001 cutoff means that there were enought applicants with PD less than August 2001 to exhaust second quarter EB3 india quota.
If USCIS couldnt pick up EB3 India cases DOS would have to further advance the dates. If USCIS would have processed then DOS would have to retrogress the Aug2001 date.
April visa bulletin will indicate what USCIS did for EB3 India until now.

Remember per quarter quota is very low for EB3 India,the law provides that no more than 27% of the available
visas may be issued in any of the first three fiscal quarters. So from January to March
only 757 visas are available for EB3 India, EB3 India and EB1 India. Thats why EB2 was already exhausted as they finished the 757 cases
Unused numbers from the first three quarters are returned to the State
Department for allocation in the fourth quarter. As a result, historically, about 40% of all
immigrant visas are issued in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year.
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Posted by sk77 (15) 13 Mar 2008
Good explanation.... I had this question from long time about how the whole process works.. Thx very much
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Posted by psuresh (116) 13 Mar 2008
It's from Mumbay Consulate Site

http://mumbai.usconsulate.gov/cut_off_dates.html

Immigrant Visas
Cut-Off Dates for Immigrant Visas
We are pleased to announce the April 2008 cut-off dates for immigrant visas for individuals born in India and those born in most other countries.

To qualify for an appointment, an applicant's priority date (the date that the petition was filed) must fall before the cut-off date for the appropriate category.

The following numbers are derived from the Department of State's Visa Bulletin. If you have additional questions about cut-off dates and your case is being processed at the U.S. Consulate General in Mumbai, please e-mail us or call us at +91-22-2363-7407 between 2 and 4 p.m. IST.



Category India Most Other Countries
F1 22 February 2002 22 February 2002
FX 1 May 2002 1 May 2002
F2A 8 May 2003 8 May 2003
F2B 22 March 1999 22 March 1999
F3 22 May 2000 22 May 2000
F4 22 November 1996 22 July 1997
E1 Current Current
E2 1 December 2003 Current
E3 1 October 2001 1 July 2005
EX Unavailable Unavailable
EW 1 March 2002 1 March 2002
E4 Current Current
E4-Religious Current Current
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Users currently subscribed this discussion: motichor, rahulmr, mikees, rakib123, harapatha, spidercharm, cjgopo, gc717, gg10004, aoswait, July31stRN, psuresh, GCThisweek, waitingpatient, guna, zest2003, galacticfed, Indra, sk77, JuanRamirez, brittogladez, GreenAlways, GodGiveMeMyGC
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