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I am from Canada |
| I last logged in on 10 Sep 2009 |
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I have been a member since 14 Sep 2007
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| I have added
1351 posts in trackitt forums
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I added my last post on 10 Sep 2009
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rennieallen's Immigration Cases
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| I-485 case:
Pending for 969 days (542 days more than average)
(14 comments)
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| User: |
rennieallen |
Nationality: |
Canada |
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| Country of Chargeability: | Canada | Applicant Type: | primary | | | Service Center: | Nebraska | Category: | EB3 | | | Priority Date: | 31 May 2006 | Application Filed: | 25 Jul 2007 | | | USCIS Received Date: | 27 Jul 2007 | USCIS Notice Date: | 24 Aug 2007 | | | USCIS Receipt Number: | | I-140/485 Filing: | non-concurrent | | | I-140 Processing Type: | regular | I-140 Approval Date: | 02 Mar 2007 | | | First Fingerprint Date: | 21 Sep 2007 | Second Fingerprint Date: | | | | RFE Received?: | yes | RFE Received Date: | 01 May 2009 | | | Reason for RFE: | Request for a legible copy of Spouses Birth Certificate. | RFE Replied Date: | 29 May 2009 | | | Case Transferred to: | | Transfer Date: | | | | Name Check Status: | too early to say | Name Check Approval Date: | | | | I-485 Status: | pending | I-485 Approval/Denial Date: | | | | Card Production Ordered: | | Card Received Date: | | | | EAD Applied?: | yes | AP Applied?: | yes | | | EAD Approval Date: | 02 Oct 2007 | AP Approval Date: | 17 Dec 2007 | | | EAD Received: | | AP Received: | | | | Time to Get EAD Approval: | 69 days | Time to Get AP Approval: | 145 days | | | Time to Get Fingerprinting Done: | 58 days | Total Time to Get GC: | | | | Most Recent LUD: | 16 Jun 2009 | Days Elapsed: | 968 days | | |
| Case Added to Tracker: |
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Last Updated: |
26 Feb 2010 |
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| Notes: |
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| I-140 case:
Approved in 276 days (6 days more than average)
(2 comments)
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| User: |
rennieallen |
Nationality: |
Canada |
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| Applicant Type: | | Service Center: | Nebraska | | | Category: | EB3 | Priority Date: | 31 May 2006 | | | Application Filed: | 30 May 2006 | USCIS Received Date: | 31 May 2006 | | | USCIS Notice Date: | 11 Jun 2006 | USCIS Receipt Number: | | | | I-140/485 Filing: | non-concurrent | Processing Type: | regular | | | RFE Received?: | no | RFE Received Date: | | | | Reason for RFE: | | RFE Replied Date: | | | | Application Status: | approved | Approval/Denial Date: | 02 Mar 2007 | | | Total Processing Time: | 276 days | Most Recent LUD: | | | | Days Elapsed: | | |
| Case Added to Tracker: |
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Last Updated: |
22 Jan 2008 |
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| Notes: |
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| rennieallen's Posts |
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Topic: EB3 ROW- spoke to lawyer today
there seems to be a lot of applications with pd between september 2005 to december 2005, at least according to Trackitt
A lot compared to what? You can't compare to adjacent years, because the actual to trackitt ratio is bound to be different. | |  |  |
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Topic: EB3 ROW- spoke to lawyer today
This is very slow movement in my opinion. Specially NOV DEC JAN .
The problem with the trackitt data, is that the actual -> trackitt ratio is almost certainly inconsistent between PD years. This variation occurs for a number of reasons:
1. Due to previous inconsistent processing by USCIS there are large swaths of applications approved at different year intervals (i.e. 2003/4 PD's are probably largely approved, and only the unapproved apps from that group are active on trackitt, magnifying the apparent bulge significantly).
2. Longer processed cases self-select to trackitt. This is because those with cases taking a long time are present at much higher percentage for older dates, than with latter dates (the one exception here, which I didn't consider is the 245i cases, because they are more like latter cases in that their I-140's have only been approved very recently, and there is not much point in them adding their I-485 profiles, or monitoring the I-485 discussion until the I-140 is approved).
So even though the graph shows a bulge at 2003/2004, that is most likely a bulge where the trackitt registration is a much higher percentage of actual, than 2006-2009. I suspect that even though 2006 looks much larger than 2007, that 2007 (in actuality) is pretty close (of course, 2007 PD's couldn't apply in the second half of CY2007 when everything was 'U', so I would expect that 2007 is somewhere around 1/2 that of 2006 (rather than the 1/3 that it appears to be in the trackitt data).
Of course since EB3ROW VB PD cutoff has never been 'C' or past mid-2006 since then, there actually can't be any 2008 PD's (which begs the question, of why there is any at all in the trackitt data :-) | | | |
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Topic: Oct Visa bulletin
promising movement within the next six months for EB3 ROW. Can you share with me and anyone else interested, a little bit about your experience living there. Thanks!!
I was born and raised in Canada. Primarily; all that is required to be happy in Canada, is to have a tolerance for cold, Celine Dion and Shania Twain (how much tolerance depends on where in Canada, how much tolerance for Celine Dion/Shania Twain depends on what radio stations you listen to).
This youtube video tells you everything you need to know about living in Canada:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drSTOjjJKX4 | | | |
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Topic: Oct Visa bulletin
If means they finally have pre-adjudcated the cases and now can see a clearer picture of the older PDs, so be it
Agreed. Someone here explained that there are a bunch of 245i applicants whose I-140's were only recently approved. It seems that there may indeed have been a significant number of these, but since 245i must (by definition) have a PD earlier than 2002; that means that there won't be any of these after 2002.
Until then I am in Facebook until they move to late 2004 dates.
I've heard of hunger strikes, but you may very well be the first person ever to engage in a Facebook strike (of course constraining oneself to Facebook is far more gruesome than emaciation :-) | | | |
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Topic: I'M EB3 ROW my PD Apr 2001
Rennieallen
All of your post's make so much sense to me you understand this crap so well. For this reason what is your ballpark figure on when they will ever get to the end of 2006?
Cheers Mrs Brew.
Assuming that the published data is correct, the current PD should get to the end of 2006 in AY10. It's just basic math, 45K pre-adjudicated EB3-ROW, 36K visas number for EB3-ROW in the allocation year. Assuming equal distribution of PD's across the years 2002-2009, then 2006 should begin to receive visa numbers 2/3 of the way through the allocation year.
Of course, I don't believe that there is an equal distribution. All evidence indicates that there is a huge bulge in 2006, and that is why the current PD will only get to the end of 2006 at the end of AY10 (if there were an equal distribution, it would get to the end of 2007 by the end of the AY).
I also, don't believe there are that many pending apps between June 2002 and Dec 2004, so November should see at least a late 2004 PD, possibly early 2005 and December should see a late 2005 PD; possibly even early 2006. Then, because of the bulge in 2006, there will be very slow progress until the end of the AY.
For AY11, 2007 will hog the first half of the AY (bulge in 2007 as well), and then things should zip along right up to 'C' for EB3ROW by the end of AY11.
This is assuming no action by congress to recapture visas or raise the cap. | | | |
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Topic: EB3 ROW- spoke to lawyer today
While it may be true, I am yet to see a lawyer who goes "$h*t, you will not get a GC anytime soon". If I believed my attorney, I would have got my GC 10 times by now.
LOL! So true. My lawyer told me I'd have my GC in 9 months. That was 3 years ago!
Of course, if they keep saying you'll get your GC soon, eventually they'll be right :-)
A broken clock is correct twice every day :-) | | | |
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Topic: EB3 ROW- spoke to lawyer today
Hey EB3-ROW folks,
I spoke to my immigration lawyer today - and he seems optimistic that my PD will be reached in this fiscal year. To date his predictions have been accurate. He expects solid movements each month. (my PD is July '04).
I would expect you to be current November, or December. | | | |
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Topic: EB3 applicants queue
Send a FOIA request to USCIS and DoS and hope that they comply. Till now the only avenue was USCIS, but with the so called pre-adjudicated queue, DoS also has some information.
If the new website contains the data that they claim it will, then it will be possible to determine the queue by combining website data with the pre-adjudication data contained in the ombudsmans report (of course, they couldn't simply calculated it on the website for you... that'd be too straightforward). | | | |
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Topic: I'M EB3 ROW my PD Apr 2001
There are more cases just like this than you probably realize. The last day of April 2001 was the deadline for applications under the 245 i legislation. The huge numbers of people who took advantage of this rule were the root cause of the labor certification bottleneck and many thousands of people ended up waiting inordinately long times for their labor certification to get through the system.
There are exactly 31 cases on trackitt. So the ratio of all cases to trackitt cases would need to be >= 100:1 in order to support the June 2002 PD. I suppose it might be that because these were 245i cases, that the applicants might not be likely to self-select to trackitt having not had their I-140's approved until recently (I know that I wasn't much interested in what was going on until my I-140 was approved).
So, even if there truly are 3000 of these cases out there, that might not be that bad news (because it would be constrained specifically to that period because of 245i). That would mean that there should be a significant progression in November. | | | |
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Topic: I'M EB3 ROW my PD Apr 2001
Congrats (in advance). I'm surprised that there are cases like yours still out there. I hope you get approved early in October.
There are surely some... but 3000? That's hard to believe.... | | | |
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Topic: Any EB3 ROW with PD 2002?
ps: not paying the proper fee is guaranteed to cause major heartache for you...
trust me...I regret it enormly.....actually I regret trusting my lawyer. But all I can do now is hope for the best. Any tips on how to push this case in OCt are welcome
Not trying to rub it in, just observing that there is a reason (and a relatively rare reason) for the lengthy delay in your case.
Anyway, that is water under the bridge. If you are pre-adjudicated, you'll get the happy email Oct 1st! | | | |
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Topic: Any EB3 ROW with PD 2002?
Wow, rennieallen, is your case pure and simple?
Yup.
Why would they keep you waiting this long when PD 2005s have been approved?
...because my PD is May 2006??? | | | |
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Topic: Any EB3 ROW with PD 2002?
My PD is Apr 2001
greenjungle, your I-140 was only approved this year. What did you expect? | | | |
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Topic: Any EB3 ROW with PD 2002?
My PD is Apr 2001
Mine too. This VB is actually good news for me b/c now I have better chances of having my case looked at. It always makes me angry when I see that people with later PDs are approved sooner than people with earlier PDs. But this should be somewhat good news for everybody...once they clear out all the cases with early PD at least there won't be any more back and forth movement in the cut-off dates...it can only progress from here on
Yeah, you definitely need to be approved, and I can guarantee you will be on October first (as long as you are pre-adjudicated).
ps: not paying the proper fee is guaranteed to cause major heartache for you... | | | |
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Topic: Any EB3 ROW with PD 2002?
They aren't gun-shy with EB2-I so why gun-shy with EB3? There probably is some demand that is not reflected in online forums. Same the case with Eb3-I, there is a demand even pre-2001 -- these people are those who bought their labors during 2007 and are therefore not representing themselves in public forums.
I don't buy it for a second. I do believe the 31 cases on trackitt are valid, but at a rate of 100 to 1 (which I think is very low for EB3ROW's with a PD earlier than June 2002) that only just validates the PD. I think the rate of EB3ROWs with this early of a PD is more like 50:1 or lower, and that would only account for 1500 apps at most. Something is very fishy with that number...
ps: They are never gun-shy in the last month, since they get pistol whipped if they waste visa numbers... | | | |
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Topic: Any EB3 ROW with PD 2002?
31 pre-2002 and it is likely the users never updated trackitt.
Given, that EB3ROW's with a PD of 2002 that hadn't been approved yet would be far more likely than average to self-select to trackitt, even this low number would shoot a hole in the idea that there are 3000 pre-2002 PD's pending at USCIS... | | | |
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Topic: Any EB3 ROW with PD 2002?
There will be hardly anyone.
All available evidence supports that statement.
My guess is that DOS is playing it safe. The guys who gave them the data that resulted in the July '07 fiasco are saying "We have fixed everything now, and our demand data is 100% accurate". If I were DOS and had been burned in the past, I might be a little cautious as well (I believe that USCIS does have it right now, but I can understand DOS being a little gun-shy). | | | |
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Topic: Any EB3 ROW with PD 2002?
Is there anyone with prior to 2002 PD?
Based on the visa bulletin, there has to be at least 3000 of them...
Yeah, I don't exactly believe the VB either... | | | |
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Topic: Oct Visa bulletin
And now another 6 years?
Kcanuck, why pray-tell, do you think the wait is another 6 years? | | | |
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Topic: Oct Visa bulletin
rennieallan:
"The VB PD cutoff no longer has any meaning to those who have already filed for AY10"
Sorry to ask, but what do you mean by that?
Do you mean that VB PD is now only used to keep people from filing at a certain date and that VB PD will not affect people already "in the system" who's I140/1485 are being processed or have been approved?
Confused
Yes, that was always its intent. It just didn't work that way because USCIS gave garbage demand data to DOS... | | | |
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